US Hostert vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
16º
70
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KOE
1 - 2
USH
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 2
USH
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
USH
2 - 3
WIL
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 2
USH
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
USH
0 - 1
KAE
35%
23%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 6
PRO
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
JEU
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
PRO
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |