US Hostert vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
16º
26
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 1
USH
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
USH
0 - 2
TPE
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UNA
2 - 0
USH
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 1
USH
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
USH
1 - 1
RAC
13%
21%
67%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 4
PRO
20%
23%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JEU
3 - 1
FOL
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 2
WIL
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
FOL
39%
22%
39%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 0
FOL
32%
23%
45%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |