US Hostert vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
16º
67
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
USH
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USH
2 - 0
BET
36%
22%
42%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
USH
30%
22%
48%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USH
0 - 5
DIF
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
USH
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
F91
1 - 4
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
F91
6%
11%
82%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
F91
3 - 2
ULS
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
F91
6 - 0
JEU
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 3
F91
13%
18%
69%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |