US Hostert vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
16º
67
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
USH
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USH
2 - 0
BET
36%
22%
42%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
USH
30%
22%
48%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USH
0 - 5
DIF
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
USH
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
F91
1 - 4
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
F91
6%
11%
82%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
F91
3 - 2
ULS
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
F91
6 - 0
JEU
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 3
F91
13%
18%
69%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |