Grosseto vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 3
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
GRO
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 2
VAR
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
GRO
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 0
VNZ
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VNZ
1 - 0
REN
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
VNZ
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SAV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |