Feillens vs Limonest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limonest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VAU
2 - 0
LIM
50%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 1
RVA
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 0
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CLE
3 - 0
LIM
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 4
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |