Cremonese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 0
USC
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
USC
1 - 2
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
SAL
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
USC
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
USC
0 - 4
USF
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
EMP
1 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 3
VNZ
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |