US Boulogne vs FCSR Haguenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
8º
16º
9º
37
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
FLE
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
USB
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
USB
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
USB
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
STA
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FCSR Haguenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
LUS
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HOM
4 - 0
FCS
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
FCS
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 1
SCH
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MET
2 - 1
FCS
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |