US Boulogne vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
REI
1 - 1
USB
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
USB
4 - 1
CLE
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
TOU
1 - 2
USB
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
USB
3 - 0
DIJ
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
MET
1 - 2
USB
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 2
AMI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
STR
1 - 2
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
TOU
0 - 1
BAS
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
GUI
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |