Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
AVE
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
RPO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
AVE
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 1
ANC
28%
22%
50%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
TAR
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FIA
2 - 1
FRA
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |