Serie B Round 21

Avellino vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Avellino Ternana Calcio
57 ELO 66
-1.2% Tilt -1.7%
912º General ELO ranking 542º
47º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
29.3%
Avellino
25.8%
Draw
44.9%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
Avellino
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avellino
+10%
-8%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Avellino
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avellino
Avellino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2005
VIC
Vicenza
1 - 1
Avellino
AVE
62%
21%
16%
57 62 5 0
10 Dec. 2005
AVE
Avellino
2 - 2
Bologna
BOL
20%
28%
52%
56 78 22 +1
03 Dec. 2005
CRO
Crotone
2 - 1
Avellino
AVE
65%
21%
14%
57 67 10 -1
26 Nov. 2005
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Torino
TOR
20%
29%
51%
55 77 22 +2
19 Nov. 2005
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 0
Avellino
AVE
75%
18%
8%
56 79 23 -1

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2005
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Cremonese
USC
61%
24%
16%
67 57 10 0
10 Dec. 2005
BRE
Brescia
0 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
64%
21%
14%
67 80 13 0
02 Dec. 2005
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 1
Rimini
RIM
41%
28%
30%
66 69 3 +1
26 Nov. 2005
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
38%
28%
34%
66 70 4 0
19 Nov. 2005
BOL
Bologna
1 - 3
Ternana Calcio
TER
69%
19%
12%
64 79 15 +2