Serie B Jor. 32

Avellino vs Salernitana analysis

Avellino Salernitana
54 ELO 57
-13.3% Tilt -5.2%
2102º General ELO ranking 492º
56º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Avellino
27.8%
Draw
36.4%
Salernitana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
Avellino
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.4%
Win probability
Salernitana
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avellino
+10%
-14%
Salernitana

ELO progression

Avellino
Salernitana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avellino
Avellino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2004
MES
ACR Messina
3 - 2
Avellino
AVE
67%
20%
13%
54 66 12 0
04 Mar. 2004
VIC
Vicenza
2 - 2
Avellino
AVE
70%
19%
11%
54 68 14 0
27 Feb. 2004
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Venezia
VNZ
29%
28%
43%
53 64 11 +1
22 Feb. 2004
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Avellino
AVE
61%
24%
16%
53 64 11 0
15 Feb. 2004
AVE
Avellino
1 - 1
Livorno
LIV
26%
28%
46%
53 66 13 0

Matches

Salernitana
Salernitana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2004
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
71%
18%
10%
59 72 13 0
29 Feb. 2004
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 2
Livorno
LIV
39%
27%
34%
60 66 6 -1
22 Feb. 2004
CAT
Catania
2 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
48%
26%
26%
61 62 1 -1
16 Feb. 2004
SAL
Salernitana
2 - 2
Triestina
TRI
40%
27%
33%
61 65 4 0
08 Feb. 2004
ASC
Ascoli
0 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
50%
25%
25%
61 61 0 0
X