Avellino vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 0
AVE
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 1
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAM
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 2
AVE
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAV
2 - 2
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
BEN
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NOC
3 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SSB
3 - 2
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |