Avellino vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
17.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
COM
1 - 2
AVE
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
61%
27%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
AVE
42%
30%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASS
54%
29%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
30%
32%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
TRI
2 - 0
BRE
43%
32%
25%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
BRE
2 - 1
USF
66%
23%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
54%
29%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 4
PIS
38%
33%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |