Coppa Italia Group E Round 1

Avellino vs SSC Bari analysis

Avellino SSC Bari
74 ELO 60
-10.9% Tilt -20.4%
913º General ELO ranking 364º
47º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
76.9%
Avellino
14.8%
Draw
8.3%
SSC Bari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
Avellino
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.3%
Win probability
SSC Bari
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avellino
+7%
-4%
SSC Bari

ELO progression

Avellino
SSC Bari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avellino
Avellino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1981
AVE
Avellino
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
47%
27%
26%
74 82 8 0
26 Aug. 1981
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 1
Avellino
AVE
56%
24%
20%
74 75 1 0
23 Aug. 1981
USC
Cremonese
0 - 0
Avellino
AVE
31%
28%
41%
74 58 16 0
24 May. 1981
AVE
Avellino
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
39%
29%
32%
74 83 9 0
17 May. 1981
BOL
Bologna
0 - 0
Avellino
AVE
66%
22%
12%
74 80 6 0

Matches

SSC Bari
SSC Bari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 1981
ASC
Ascoli
3 - 3
SSC Bari
BAR
74%
17%
9%
59 75 16 0
26 Aug. 1981
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 0
Cremonese
USC
56%
25%
19%
59 59 0 0
23 Aug. 1981
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
28%
30%
42%
59 82 23 0
21 Jun. 1981
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
49%
29%
22%
58 62 4 +1
14 Jun. 1981
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 1
SSC Bari
BAR
54%
28%
18%
58 60 2 0