US Alessandria vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
USA
18%
26%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 2
USA
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 2
USA
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
USA
0 - 1
REC
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 0
USA
15%
24%
61%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
REN
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REN
0 - 0
PER
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
REN
22%
24%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 4
REN
54%
25%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
REN
0 - 0
ABN
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |