Serie C Playoffs Ascenso. Last 16
Global 4-5
US Alessandria vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
FER
2 - 3
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
USA
3 - 1
CUN
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PIS
2 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
USA
3 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
FER
2 - 3
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
ABN
0 - 1
FER
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FER
4 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 2
FER
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |