US Alessandria vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
USA
12%
24%
65%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
USA
2 - 1
ACG
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 0
USA
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USA
3 - 1
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 2
TRE
17%
25%
59%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 0
ACD
47%
25%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACG
5 - 2
ACS
49%
26%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |