Alençon vs Oissel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
2º
25
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 50 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 39 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VHO
1 - 2
ALE
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
LEH
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 0
ALE
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
LMU
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 2
ALE
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oissel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OIS
1 - 2
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AGC
4 - 2
OIS
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OIS
1 - 0
QUE
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 0
VHO
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 3
OIS
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |