Ursus Warszawa vs Warta Sieradz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
0 - 0
UWA
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
UWA
0 - 1
RAD
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PBI
0 - 1
UWA
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UWA
4 - 2
SOT
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LWA
0 - 2
UWA
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Warta Sieradz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
WSI
0 - 2
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
PSI
1 - 0
WSI
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WSI
3 - 2
PGM
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 0
WSI
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
WSI
3 - 2
SWI
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |