Ursus Warszawa vs MKS Ełk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 0
UWA
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LKS
3 - 1
UWA
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UWA
2 - 2
JAG
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RWM
0 - 2
UWA
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UWA
4 - 0
HWP
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
MKS Ełk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MKS
1 - 3
LOM
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MKS
2 - 2
LWA
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LTM
2 - 0
MKS
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MKS
1 - 3
CON
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WLO
2 - 1
MKS
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |