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Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 33

Ursus Warszawa Huragan Morag
3 ELO 3
-10% Tilt 27%
10464º General ELO ranking 10676º
159º Country ELO ranking 166º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Ursus Warszawa
26.5%
Draw
37.9%
Huragan Morag

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
Ursus Warszawa
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.9%
Win probability
Huragan Morag
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ursus Warszawa
+26%
-12%
Huragan Morag

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
77
77
100%
Swit Nowy Dwor
74
74
100%
KS Legionovia Legionowo
64
64
100%
Polonia Warszawa
59
59
100%
Kutno
55
55
100%
Unia Skierniewice
52
52
33%
Ursus Warszawa
52
52
33%
Znicz Biała Piska
52
52
33%
Legia Warszawa II
51
51
50%
Broń Radom
10º
51
51
10º
50%
KS Blonianka
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Sokol Aleksandrow
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Pelikan Lowicz
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Wikielec
15º
46
46
15º
100%
Concordia Elblag
16º
45
45
16º
100%
Jagiellonia II
17º
44
44
17º
100%
RKS Radomsko
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Olimpia Zambrow
19º
40
40
19º
100%
Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie
20º
23
23
20º
100%
Huragan Morag
21º
22
22
21º
100%
KS Wasilków
22º
15
15
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ursus Warszawa
Huragan Morag
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Huragan Morag
HUR
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
Olimpia Zambrow
OLI
Kutno
KFC
Pelikan Lowicz
PEL
Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie
RWM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ursus Warszawa
Ursus Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO UWA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2021
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
3 - 0
Huragan Morag
HUR
45%
27%
28%
47 16 31 +1
29 May. 2021
PEL
Pelikan Lowicz
0 - 1
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
49%
26%
25%
46 173 127 +1
26 May. 2021
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 0
Wikielec
WIK
42%
28%
31%
45 168 -123 +1
22 May. 2021
SAL
Sokol Aleksandrow
1 - 1
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
47%
27%
26%
45 96 51 0
15 May. 2021
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
2 - 1
Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie
RWM
41%
28%
31%
45 100 -55 +1

Matches

Huragan Morag
Huragan Morag
1%
X%
2%
ELO HUR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2021
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
3 - 0
Huragan Morag
HUR
45%
27%
28%
16 47 31 -1
29 May. 2021
CON
Concordia Elblag
4 - 1
Huragan Morag
HUR
45%
27%
28%
17 48 31 -1
22 May. 2021
HUR
Huragan Morag
0 - 4
Broń Radom
BRA
42%
28%
31%
18 130 -112 -1
15 May. 2021
HUR
Huragan Morag
1 - 3
Wikielec
WIK
42%
27%
31%
19 167 -148 -1
08 May. 2021
LTM
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
4 - 2
Huragan Morag
HUR
47%
27%
26%
20 71 51 -1