Ursus Warszawa vs Huragan Morag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 3
UWA
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
UWA
3 - 1
LWA
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MKS
2 - 0
UWA
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
UWA
2 - 1
WLO
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WSI
0 - 0
UWA
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 1
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
HUR
3 - 0
OLI
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LWA
0 - 2
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 2
MKS
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WLO
1 - 1
HUR
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |