Urk vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
79.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SVZ
1 - 2
URK
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
URK
3 - 1
VVO
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AZS
3 - 1
URK
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 0
URK
66%
18%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
URK
2 - 1
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
GAE
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 1
AJA
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 0
ZWO
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |