Ureña vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
URE
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
URE
2 - 7
ZAM
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
URE
2 - 0
MIR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
URE
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
URE
0 - 0
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
ANZ
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 1
ZAM
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ZUL
4 - 0
ANZ
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 1
DEP
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |