UC Dublin vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
66.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
10º
10º
58
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DER
6 - 0
UCD
77%
17%
7%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 0
SHR
11%
23%
66%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SLR
2 - 0
UCD
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 5
DER
9%
21%
70%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 0
UCD
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 1
BOH
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BOH
3 - 1
SLR
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BOH
1 - 1
SHE
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
BOH
24%
27%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 5
BOH
3%
13%
83%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |