Universitatea Alba Iulia vs ACS Târgu Mures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
7º
7º
24
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Alba Iulia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
UAI
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
UAI
1 - 1
FCU
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SNT
1 - 3
UAI
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UAI
0 - 0
MET
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
UAI
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
ACS Târgu Mures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 3
HUN
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VII
2 - 1
ACS
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
ACS
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 1
FCU
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SNT
4 - 3
ACS
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |