Universitario Popayán vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
RSC
1 - 1
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ORS
2 - 1
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOG
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CUC
0 - 0
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
REA
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
RSC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
CUC
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
PER
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |