Universitario Popayán vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COR
3 - 0
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 0
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
AFC
57%
22%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
COR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
22%
24%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAR
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
JAG
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
JUN
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |