Universitario de Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 4
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 2
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
HUA
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COM
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 3
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |