Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 1-6
Universitario de Deportes vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPC
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
UNI
30%
27%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UCE
1 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
EME
1 - 0
DEL
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
EME
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
EME
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
EME
4 - 0
MUS
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |