Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
3º
12
4º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 18 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 17 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
1º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 14 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 13 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 11 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 10 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 10 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 9 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 8 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 8 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 8 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
1% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 7 |
16º
|
4.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 6 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 6 |
18º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 5 |
19º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 0
UNI
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
HUA
1 - 1
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 4
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 0
SBO
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
AUN
0 - 2
UNI
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
UCE
1 - 2
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
ALI
3 - 1
ADT
38%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
UCE
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
AYA
0 - 1
ALI
21%
28%
51%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |