Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
SBO
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SRP
3 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
BIN
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
2 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALI
33%
28%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ALI
5 - 1
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |