Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
BSC
3 - 0
UNI
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 1
BSC
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
2 - 2
UNI
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
SPO
5 - 0
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 2
UNI
46%
23%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
2 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |