Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
VAL
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
GAR
4 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 3
VAL
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |