Univ. San Martín vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 2
UTC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
AYA
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
UTC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 2
UTC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
SRP
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |