Univ. San Martín vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
BIN
4 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CIE
5 - 3
SAM
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
MUN
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADT
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
UTC
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HUA
2 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPC
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |