Univ. San Martín vs Sport Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
UNI
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
SAM
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
AYA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sport Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 0
SRP
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 0
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
4 - 0
UTC
52%
28%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SRP
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 1
UNI
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |