Univ. San Martín vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CNI
3 - 1
SAM
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
5 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
AUR
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAM
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
SNL
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
LIB
21%
28%
50%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
5 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
4 - 1
RÑU
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |