Univ. San Martín vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
GAR
3 - 3
SAM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
6 - 1
MUN
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 3
SPC
23%
23%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SBO
3 - 2
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
COM
0 - 4
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
MEL
25%
27%
49%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |