Univ. San Martín vs Cobresol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
CIE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAL
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cobresol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
COB
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
COB
3 - 0
UNI
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
SPC
20%
26%
55%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
COB
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GAL
4 - 0
COB
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |