La Palma vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
RUN
4 - 2
LPF
23%
24%
52%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LPF
0 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 0
LPF
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LPF
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
IGA
2 - 1
LPF
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 1
RUN
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 2
UDI
28%
25%
48%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
UDI
0 - 0
CDT
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
UDI
26%
25%
50%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
UDI
1 - 0
IGA
56%
23%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |