Universidad LPGC vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad LPGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LEG
3 - 0
ULP
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ULP
1 - 0
LOR
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UDV
2 - 1
ULP
27%
29%
45%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ULP
1 - 1
VEC
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MER
3 - 0
ULP
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
0 - 2
VEC
29%
27%
45%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
PPJ
4 - 1
ALF
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
0 - 2
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LAN
4 - 0
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |