Clausura Ascenso MX Round 3

Leones Negros vs Zacatepec analysis

Leones Negros Zacatepec
73 ELO 61
-17.4% Tilt -10%
451º General ELO ranking 22387º
12º Country ELO ranking 151º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Leones Negros
26.3%
Draw
17.6%
Zacatepec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
Leones Negros
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
17.6%
Win probability
Zacatepec
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Leones Negros
Zacatepec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leones Negros
Leones Negros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2016
DOR
Dorados
1 - 2
Leones Negros
UDG
44%
26%
31%
72 70 2 0
17 Jan. 2016
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 2
Leones Negros
UDG
53%
25%
22%
72 72 0 0
10 Jan. 2016
UDG
Leones Negros
2 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
42%
28%
30%
71 69 2 +1
14 Nov. 2015
UDG
Leones Negros
0 - 0
FC Juárez
JUA
37%
30%
33%
70 73 3 +1
07 Nov. 2015
MER
Venados FC
2 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
42%
27%
31%
71 64 7 -1

Matches

Zacatepec
Zacatepec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2016
CAÑ
Zacatepec
0 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
75%
16%
9%
63 49 14 0
10 Jan. 2016
TOR
Celaya
2 - 0
Zacatepec
CAÑ
45%
26%
29%
63 63 0 0
14 Nov. 2015
CAF
Cafetaleros
3 - 2
Zacatepec
CAÑ
54%
24%
22%
63 67 4 0
08 Nov. 2015
CAÑ
Zacatepec
2 - 5
Deportivo Tepic
TEP
42%
27%
31%
64 69 5 -1
31 Oct. 2015
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
2 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
49%
26%
26%
65 65 0 -1