Leones Negros vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
UDG
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
UDG
2 - 1
UAT
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 0
UDG
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 2
ORI
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 1
UDG
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 2
TIJ
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
IND
3 - 3
PUM
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 1
REB
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
PUM
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 1
IRA
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |