Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
UAT
2 - 2
UDG
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 0
DOR
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 1
UDG
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
TAM
3 - 2
UDG
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 3
TEM
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
TIA
1 - 1
ALE
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 1
CIM
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SPT
0 - 0
ALE
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ZAC
6 - 0
ALE
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |