Leones Negros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UDG
2 - 2
REB
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 2
IRA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 0
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2007 |
GUE
2 - 2
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
3 - 2
PUE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UAT
1 - 2
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
SAG
2 - 2
TOR
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |