Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 1-0
Univ de Chile vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
USF
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
0 - 2
MAG
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
UCH
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
FEN
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FEN
4 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 2
BVS
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 0
LFC
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CER
1 - 1
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |