Univ. César Vallejo vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VAL
5 - 2
SRP
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CIE
0 - 0
VAL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
LOS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 4
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 4
LOS
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BOC
6 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 2
LOS
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 4
HUA
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |