Univ. César Vallejo vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
HUA
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
VAL
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAN
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 1
CIE
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HUA
4 - 3
AUN
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 2
SPC
9%
17%
74%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 4
UNI
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUN
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |