Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 2
UCE
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 2
CUE
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
EME
2 - 2
UCE
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 3
IVT
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 1
TEC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
4 - 0
MUS
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 0
ORE
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OLM
2 - 5
MUS
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
LIG
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |